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Red75
366335.6
451213.8
382617.5
Blue33
803216.5
468220.0
29064.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6437020801007533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.2
31.432.6
Auto15.8
Teleop18.4
End1.3
red by 15.6
4682
#18
20.00.2
22.021.7
Auto9.5
Teleop9.9
End0.6
Second
17.51.2
15.316.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
red by 1.0
8032
#24
16.50.2
13.913.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Third
13.81.2
8.39.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.3
red by 9.3
2906
#33
4.60.2
0.70.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed