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Red47
33930.9
37864.5
382617.5
Blue47
63509.1
298013.6
568312.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24410102030506070804747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
red by 3.9
2980
#28
13.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Second
3786
#29
4.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.1
blue by 8.3
5683
#22
12.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.6
Third
3393
#30
0.9
Auto1.4
Teleop-1.0
End0.5
blue by 8.2
6350
#26
9.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed