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Red34
293026.5
321911.0
944615.0
Blue76
491519.7
491114.3
291042.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54672040801001203476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#10
26.51.4
23.522.0
Auto13.1
Teleop12.5
End0.9
blue by 15.7
42.31.1
35.136.2
Auto13.4
Teleop28.6
End0.2
Second
15.01.4
14.412.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.1
blue by 4.7
4915
#11
19.71.1
15.216.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.1
Third
3219
#31
11.01.4
12.911.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End1.1
blue by 3.3
4911
#20
14.31.1
8.79.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed