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Red29
95817.0
83033.8
746117.4
Blue100
252230.4
255724.3
88963.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21650408010012029100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7461
#16
17.40.6
14.013.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
blue by 13.0
2522
#13
30.40.8
26.427.1
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Second
9581
#27
7.00.6
6.15.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.1
blue by 17.3
2557
#14
24.30.8
24.825.6
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Third
8303
#34
3.80.4
4.23.8
Auto2.1
Teleop0.7
End1.0
red by 0.7
8896
#21
3.20.8
2.02.8
Auto2.4
Teleop0.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsEarned