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Red69
762719.3
382617.5
803216.5
Blue16
33930.9
45795.0
83033.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6670204060801001206916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7627
#17
19.30.6
19.118.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End1.9
red by 14.3
4579
#23
5.00.2
7.77.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Second
17.50.6
17.116.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
red by 13.7
8303
#34
3.80.2
4.24.0
Auto2.1
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Third
8032
#24
16.50.6
16.115.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End2.3
red by 15.5
3393
#30
0.90.2
1.81.6
Auto1.4
Teleop-1.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed