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Red60
95817.0
63509.1
252230.4
Blue49
304913.9
594118.1
451213.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42482060801006049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#13
30.41.4
27.528.9
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 12.3
18.10.4
17.618.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Second
6350
#26
9.11.4
7.38.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
blue by 4.8
3049
#25
13.90.4
13.914.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.8
Third
9581
#27
7.02.0
4.26.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.1
blue by 6.8
13.80.4
11.511.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed