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Red50
83028.1
491519.7
298013.6
Blue56
944615.0
88963.2
446922.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463902060801005056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#11
19.70.3
16.817.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.1
blue by 2.4
4469
#12
22.10.5
19.720.3
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End2.0
Second
2980
#28
13.60.3
16.416.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 1.3
15.00.5
13.514.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Third
8302
#32
8.10.3
7.78.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
red by 5.0
8896
#21
3.20.5
2.83.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned