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Red30
382617.5
491519.7
29064.6
Blue85
594118.1
746117.4
255724.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266402040801003085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#11
19.70.4
11.511.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.1
blue by 4.6
2557
#14
24.31.4
21.122.5
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
17.50.3
14.013.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
blue by 0.6
18.11.4
16.017.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Third
2906
#33
4.60.4
2.32.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 12.8
7461
#16
17.42.4
16.518.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed