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Red51
29297.4
468220.0
45795.0
Blue18
803216.5
63509.1
491114.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333415202530404550555118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4682
#18
20.00.3
21.722.0
Auto9.5
Teleop9.9
End0.6
red by 3.5
8032
#24
16.51.4
15.614.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Second
2929
#19
7.40.3
4.64.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End0.8
blue by 6.9
4911
#20
14.31.4
8.26.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Third
4579
#23
5.00.3
4.64.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 4.1
6350
#26
9.11.3
6.55.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed