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Red73
366335.6
83028.1
593716.0
Blue65
491114.3
177835.6
29075.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66490204060801001207365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.4
33.834.2
Auto15.8
Teleop18.4
End1.3
Level
35.61.2
33.134.3
Auto14.0
Teleop18.6
End3.0
Second
5937
#15
16.00.4
16.016.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
red by 1.7
4911
#20
14.31.2
9.710.9
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Third
8302
#32
8.10.4
8.08.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
red by 2.6
2907
#35
5.51.2
3.75.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed