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Red85
255724.3
291042.3
204634.4
Blue43
944615.0
252230.4
298013.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11558501001508543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.8
38.637.8
Auto13.4
Teleop28.6
End0.2
red by 11.9
2522
#13
30.41.1
28.927.8
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Second
34.40.8
33.032.2
Auto9.6
Teleop20.7
End4.1
red by 19.4
15.01.1
14.012.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Third
2557
#14
24.30.8
25.624.7
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
red by 10.6
2980
#28
13.61.1
16.715.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed