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Red58
944615.0
746117.4
321819.1
Blue74
446922.1
468220.0
803216.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556302040801001201401605874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.2
19.019.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.3
blue by 3.0
4469
#12
22.10.4
21.321.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End2.0
Second
7461
#16
17.40.2
17.217.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
blue by 2.6
4682
#18
20.00.4
19.219.5
Auto9.5
Teleop9.9
End0.6
Third
15.00.2
14.815.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.1
blue by 1.5
8032
#24
16.50.4
15.616.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End2.3