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Red81
382617.5
293026.5
593716.0
Blue68
491519.7
491114.3
255724.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676330405080901008168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#10
26.50.4
26.627.0
Auto13.1
Teleop12.5
End0.9
red by 2.3
2557
#14
24.30.2
24.024.3
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
17.50.4
17.518.0
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
blue by 2.2
4915
#11
19.70.2
19.519.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.1
Third
5937
#15
16.00.4
16.016.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
red by 1.7
4911
#20
14.30.2
14.114.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6