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Red94
366335.6
177835.6
88963.2
Blue48
321819.1
746117.4
944615.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88520204060801001201409448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.1
35.936.1
Auto14.0
Teleop18.6
End3.0
red by 16.5
19.10.2
19.119.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Second
35.60.1
35.936.0
Auto15.8
Teleop18.4
End1.3
red by 18.2
7461
#16
17.40.2
17.417.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
Third
8896
#21
3.20.1
3.53.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.6
End0.2
blue by 11.8
15.00.2
15.014.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.1