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Red132
63509.1
204634.4
291042.3
Blue68
593716.0
293026.5
382617.5
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926220408010012014013268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.8
39.640.4
Auto13.4
Teleop28.6
End0.2
red by 15.7
2930
#10
26.50.2
26.426.6
Auto13.1
Teleop12.5
End0.9
Second
34.40.8
31.732.5
Auto9.6
Teleop20.7
End4.1
red by 16.9
17.50.2
17.317.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Third
6350
#26
9.10.8
8.39.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
blue by 6.8
5937
#15
16.00.2
15.816.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7