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Red68
451213.8
298013.6
252230.4
Blue94
593716.0
293026.5
382617.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62643040507080901006894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#13
30.40.3
30.030.2
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 3.8
2930
#10
26.50.6
25.826.4
Auto13.1
Teleop12.5
End0.9
Second
13.80.3
13.413.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.3
blue by 3.7
17.50.6
16.817.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Third
2980
#28
13.60.3
13.213.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 2.3
5937
#15
16.00.6
15.215.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7