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Red103
366335.6
177835.6
88963.2
Blue52
491519.7
491114.3
255724.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8557204010012010352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.6
35.435.9
Auto14.0
Teleop18.6
End3.0
red by 11.3
2557
#14
24.30.1
23.123.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
35.60.6
35.335.9
Auto15.8
Teleop18.4
End1.3
red by 15.9
4915
#11
19.70.1
18.518.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.1
Third
8896
#21
3.20.6
2.93.5
Auto2.4
Teleop0.6
End0.2
blue by 11.1
4911
#20
14.30.1
13.113.0
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6