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Red65
36025.2
292620.2
445019.4
Blue18
189914.7
558811.4
35881.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105190501502006518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#4
25.22.3
34.031.7
Auto9.8
Teleop12.3
End3.0
red by 10.4
1899
#20
14.70.6
15.414.7
Auto9.3
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Second
2926
#16
20.22.3
22.420.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End0.6
red by 8.8
5588
#17
11.40.6
11.611.0
Auto7.1
Teleop2.7
End1.6
Third
4450
#11
19.42.3
28.726.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End0.6
red by 17.7
3588
#29
1.80.6
0.60.0
Auto2.4
Teleop-1.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed