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Red49
129411.8
49230.3
198315.6
Blue52
582720.6
252217.9
902318.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67780501001504952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#3
30.31.5
24.222.6
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End1.9
red by 9.7
5827
#10
20.61.3
17.316.0
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End1.8
Second
1983
#32
15.61.5
21.319.8
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.7
blue by 2.7
9023
#19
18.31.3
30.028.7
Auto8.7
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Third
1294
#27
11.81.5
16.214.7
Auto6.0
Teleop5.5
End0.3
blue by 6.1
2522
#14
17.91.3
22.220.9
Auto10.2
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed