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Red52
292620.2
418019.3
198315.6
Blue69
446924.1
445019.4
49230.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6084020401001201405269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2926
#16
20.20.4
20.320.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End0.6
blue by 10.1
492
#3
30.30.3
23.823.5
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End1.9
Second
4180
#15
19.30.4
18.618.2
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End1.6
blue by 4.7
24.10.3
24.123.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.0
End3.4
Third
1983
#32
15.60.4
18.418.0
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.7
blue by 3.9
4450
#11
19.40.3
25.425.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed