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Red36
129411.8
63507.7
582720.6
Blue78
945017.5
293029.6
59378.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396702060801001201403678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#10
20.60.2
16.316.1
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End1.8
blue by 8.9
29.60.7
31.732.4
Auto14.4
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Second
1294
#27
11.80.2
13.813.7
Auto6.0
Teleop5.5
End0.3
blue by 5.7
17.50.7
14.915.6
Auto10.0
Teleop6.0
End1.5
Third
6350
#22
7.70.2
8.38.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 0.5
5937
#28
8.10.7
11.111.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed