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Red52
36025.2
82486.7
291035.2
Blue74
204627.8
94815.7
32197.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1035501502005274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.22.7
45.843.1
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End1.0
red by 7.4
27.80.1
33.933.8
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End1.7
Second
360
#4
25.22.7
32.830.2
Auto9.8
Teleop12.3
End3.0
red by 9.4
948
#7
15.70.1
11.211.1
Auto10.7
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Third
8248
#30
6.72.7
9.26.6
Auto4.3
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 0.8
3219
#25
7.50.1
10.210.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed