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Red40
29036.1
446924.1
903618.7
Blue76
292620.2
63507.7
94815.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524402060801001204076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.4
22.922.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.0
End3.4
red by 3.9
2926
#16
20.22.4
20.322.7
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End0.6
Second
9036
#21
18.70.4
18.918.4
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 2.9
948
#7
15.72.4
11.513.8
Auto10.7
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Third
2903
#23
6.10.4
4.54.1
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End1.3
blue by 1.5
6350
#22
7.72.4
8.610.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed