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Red67
418019.3
445019.4
293029.6
Blue37
558811.4
491513.3
291035.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827202040601001206737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.5
32.732.2
Auto14.4
Teleop12.4
End2.7
blue by 5.7
35.22.3
43.140.9
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End1.0
Second
4450
#11
19.40.5
23.322.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End0.6
red by 6.1
4915
#24
13.32.3
12.510.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Third
4180
#15
19.30.5
17.216.6
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End1.6
red by 8.0
5588
#17
11.42.3
10.38.1
Auto7.1
Teleop2.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed