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Red58
29036.1
36025.2
558811.4
Blue51
49230.3
59378.1
451211.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445402060805851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#4
25.21.1
28.829.9
Auto9.8
Teleop12.3
End3.0
blue by 5.1
492
#3
30.30.2
25.425.7
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End1.9
Second
5588
#17
11.41.1
8.19.2
Auto7.1
Teleop2.7
End1.6
blue by 0.5
4512
#18
11.80.2
11.812.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End0.2
Third
2903
#23
6.11.1
4.15.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End1.3
blue by 2.0
5937
#28
8.10.2
10.610.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed