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Red46
94815.7
35881.8
446924.1
Blue94
568313.1
204627.8
491513.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3566020801001201404694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.4
22.823.2
Auto7.7
Teleop13.0
End3.4
blue by 3.8
27.80.9
32.633.5
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End1.7
Second
948
#7
15.70.4
13.814.2
Auto10.7
Teleop4.7
End0.3
red by 2.4
4915
#24
13.30.9
10.711.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Third
3588
#29
1.80.4
-1.4-1.0
Auto2.4
Teleop-1.1
End0.5
blue by 11.3
5683
#13
13.10.9
12.613.4
Auto6.7
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned