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Red18
63507.7
445019.4
59378.1
Blue64
451211.8
902318.3
204627.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4283020601001201401864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#11
19.41.9
22.320.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End0.6
blue by 8.4
27.80.8
33.532.7
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End1.7
Second
5937
#28
8.11.9
10.88.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 10.1
9023
#19
18.30.8
25.224.4
Auto8.7
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Third
6350
#22
7.71.9
9.47.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 4.2
4512
#18
11.80.8
12.011.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed