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Red64
582720.6
29036.1
298011.8
Blue48
35881.8
293029.6
32197.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394502060801001206448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#10
20.60.1
18.918.9
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End1.8
blue by 8.9
29.60.5
33.433.9
Auto14.4
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Second
2980
#12
11.80.1
11.111.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End2.9
red by 4.3
3219
#25
7.50.5
6.67.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Third
2903
#23
6.10.1
6.16.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End1.3
red by 4.3
3588
#29
1.80.5
-0.10.5
Auto2.4
Teleop-1.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed