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Red46
491513.3
129411.8
36025.2
Blue53
37864.0
131829.4
903618.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57622040804653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#4
25.20.4
29.429.0
Auto9.8
Teleop12.3
End3.0
blue by 4.2
29.40.1
31.531.4
Auto12.7
Teleop12.4
End4.3
Second
4915
#24
13.30.4
11.611.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 5.4
9036
#21
18.70.1
18.418.3
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
1294
#27
11.80.4
10.910.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.5
End0.3
red by 7.8
3786
#31
4.00.1
5.25.1
Auto3.4
Teleop0.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed