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Red68
63507.7
418019.3
945017.5
Blue62
94815.7
451211.8
558811.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503802060801006862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#15
19.31.3
17.118.4
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End1.6
red by 3.6
948
#7
15.70.6
13.914.5
Auto10.7
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Second
17.51.3
19.320.6
Auto10.0
Teleop6.0
End1.5
red by 5.7
4512
#18
11.80.6
11.211.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End0.2
Third
6350
#22
7.71.3
7.58.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 3.7
5588
#17
11.40.6
10.711.3
Auto7.1
Teleop2.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned