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Red59
445019.4
568313.1
189914.7
Blue41
241210.0
902318.3
291035.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions469002060801001201401605941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#11
19.40.8
20.421.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End0.6
blue by 15.8
35.22.3
39.537.2
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End1.0
Second
1899
#20
14.70.8
13.214.0
Auto9.3
Teleop4.8
End0.7
blue by 3.5
9023
#19
18.32.3
24.422.1
Auto8.7
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Third
5683
#13
13.10.8
13.113.9
Auto6.7
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 3.0
2412
#26
10.02.3
12.29.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed