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Red31
198315.6
59378.1
252217.9
Blue45
446924.1
82486.7
292620.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485902040801003145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#14
17.90.9
20.920.0
Auto10.2
Teleop6.0
End1.7
blue by 6.1
24.10.4
23.222.7
Auto7.7
Teleop13.0
End3.4
Second
1983
#32
15.60.9
14.613.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.7
blue by 4.6
2926
#16
20.20.4
20.419.9
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End0.6
Third
5937
#28
8.10.9
8.98.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
red by 1.4
8248
#30
6.70.4
8.27.7
Auto4.3
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed