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Red66
49230.3
35881.8
903618.7
Blue71
204627.8
131829.4
945017.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4310102060801201401606671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#3
30.31.0
27.228.2
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End1.9
red by 0.9
29.42.4
31.429.0
Auto12.7
Teleop12.4
End4.3
Second
9036
#21
18.71.0
18.319.3
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 9.1
27.82.4
32.730.3
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End1.7
Third
3588
#29
1.81.0
0.51.5
Auto2.4
Teleop-1.1
End0.5
blue by 15.7
17.52.4
20.618.2
Auto10.0
Teleop6.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsEarned