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Red44
131829.4
558811.4
63507.7
Blue25
198315.6
37864.0
189914.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69530204060801001201401604425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.41.1
37.236.1
Auto12.7
Teleop12.4
End4.3
red by 13.8
1983
#32
15.61.8
25.223.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Second
5588
#17
11.41.1
14.012.9
Auto7.1
Teleop2.7
End1.6
blue by 3.4
1899
#20
14.71.8
20.518.7
Auto9.3
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Third
6350
#22
7.71.1
9.18.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
red by 3.6
3786
#31
4.01.8
4.52.7
Auto3.4
Teleop0.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed