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Red56
298011.8
451211.8
446924.1
Blue45
35881.8
36025.2
418019.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496502040801001201401605645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.6
24.825.4
Auto7.7
Teleop13.0
End3.4
blue by 1.1
360
#4
25.20.8
34.834.0
Auto9.8
Teleop12.3
End3.0
Second
4512
#18
11.80.6
12.413.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End0.2
blue by 7.5
4180
#15
19.30.8
19.718.9
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Third
2980
#12
11.80.6
9.510.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End2.9
red by 10.0
3588
#29
1.80.8
2.31.5
Auto2.4
Teleop-1.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed