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Red16
82486.7
37864.0
445019.4
Blue59
198315.6
558811.4
446924.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3555020801001201659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#11
19.41.3
21.319.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End0.6
blue by 4.6
24.10.7
22.723.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.0
End3.4
Second
8248
#30
6.71.3
7.76.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 8.9
1983
#32
15.60.7
13.714.5
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Third
3786
#31
4.01.3
5.13.7
Auto3.4
Teleop0.4
End0.2
blue by 7.4
5588
#17
11.40.7
11.312.1
Auto7.1
Teleop2.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed