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Red41
298011.8
189914.7
418019.3
Blue43
59378.1
94815.7
129411.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503602060801004143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#15
19.30.9
19.118.2
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End1.6
red by 3.6
948
#7
15.70.3
14.514.8
Auto10.7
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Second
1899
#20
14.70.9
14.013.1
Auto9.3
Teleop4.8
End0.7
red by 2.9
1294
#27
11.80.3
11.211.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.5
End0.3
Third
2980
#12
11.80.9
11.110.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End2.9
red by 3.6
5937
#28
8.10.3
8.08.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed