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Red57
903618.7
291035.2
252217.9
Blue39
568313.1
945017.5
29036.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions913602060801001201401605739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.21.2
37.236.0
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End1.0
red by 17.8
17.50.7
18.217.5
Auto10.0
Teleop6.0
End1.5
Second
9036
#21
18.71.2
19.318.0
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 5.6
5683
#13
13.10.7
14.113.4
Auto6.7
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
2522
#14
17.91.2
19.218.0
Auto10.2
Teleop6.0
End1.7
red by 11.8
2903
#23
6.10.7
6.96.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned