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Red30
32197.5
451211.8
63507.7
Blue66
445019.4
198315.6
131829.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2277040601001201403066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4512
#18
11.80.2
11.912.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End0.2
blue by 17.5
29.40.0
29.029.0
Auto12.7
Teleop12.4
End4.3
Second
6350
#22
7.70.2
7.47.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 11.8
4450
#11
19.40.0
19.920.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End0.6
Third
3219
#25
7.50.2
7.37.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.9
blue by 8.1
1983
#32
15.60.0
14.514.5
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed