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Red44
945017.5
252217.9
558811.4
Blue43
204627.8
198315.6
29036.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5479020401001201401604443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#14
17.91.2
23.422.2
Auto10.2
Teleop6.0
End1.7
blue by 9.9
27.82.0
38.236.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End1.7
Second
17.51.2
16.114.9
Auto10.0
Teleop6.0
End1.5
red by 1.9
1983
#32
15.62.0
23.321.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Third
5588
#17
11.41.2
12.911.6
Auto7.1
Teleop2.7
End1.6
red by 5.2
2903
#23
6.12.0
6.94.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed