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Red19
129411.8
451211.8
35881.8
Blue51
291035.2
292620.2
189914.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231180501001502001951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4512
#18
11.80.8
13.012.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End0.2
blue by 23.4
35.23.3
51.448.1
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End1.0
Second
1294
#27
11.80.8
17.016.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.5
End0.3
blue by 8.3
2926
#16
20.23.3
25.722.4
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End0.6
Third
3588
#29
1.80.8
1.50.6
Auto2.4
Teleop-1.1
End0.5
blue by 13.0
1899
#20
14.73.3
18.715.4
Auto9.3
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed