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Red127
902323.0
129432.8
204637.9
Blue84
307034.7
582727.1
413116.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10385406012014016018012784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.8
37.137.9
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
red by 3.2
34.70.1
34.834.7
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Second
32.80.8
32.032.8
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End0.2
red by 5.7
27.10.1
27.227.1
Auto8.8
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Third
9023
#25
23.00.8
22.223.0
Auto10.0
Teleop12.5
End0.5
red by 6.2
4131
#22
16.80.1
16.916.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.9
End0.8