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Red100
902323.0
129432.8
204637.9
Blue79
307034.7
582727.1
413116.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10385406012014016018010079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.1
37.037.1
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
red by 3.2
34.70.0
34.834.8
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Second
32.80.1
31.932.0
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End0.2
red by 5.7
27.10.0
27.227.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Third
9023
#25
23.00.1
22.122.2
Auto10.0
Teleop12.5
End0.5
red by 6.2
4131
#22
16.80.0
16.916.9
Auto8.2
Teleop7.9
End0.8