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Red85
413116.8
582727.1
307034.7
Blue81
131829.0
292820.3
189926.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87830501001502002508581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.1
34.634.8
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
red by 5.6
29.00.1
28.929.0
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Second
27.10.1
27.127.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.4
End2.9
red by 0.6
26.50.1
26.426.5
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Third
4131
#22
16.80.1
16.816.9
Auto8.2
Teleop7.9
End0.8
blue by 3.5
2928
#24
20.30.1
20.220.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End1.9