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Red53
48825.1
198325.4
94821.9
Blue115
131829.0
292820.3
189926.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818160709010011053115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#21
25.40.5
25.925.4
Auto10.5
Teleop13.0
End1.9
blue by 3.6
29.00.8
28.128.9
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Second
488
#14
25.10.5
25.625.1
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End0.9
blue by 1.4
26.50.8
25.626.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Third
948
#17
21.90.5
22.421.9
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End0.7
red by 1.6
2928
#24
20.30.8
19.320.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End1.9