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Red88
413116.8
582727.1
307034.7
Blue101
204637.9
129432.8
902323.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83102406012014016018088101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.2
34.434.6
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
blue by 3.2
37.90.2
36.837.0
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
Second
27.10.2
26.827.1
Auto8.8
Teleop15.4
End2.9
blue by 5.7
32.80.2
31.731.9
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End0.2
Third
4131
#22
16.80.2
16.516.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.9
End0.8
blue by 6.2
9023
#25
23.00.2
21.822.1
Auto10.0
Teleop12.5
End0.5