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Red66
491814.1
189926.5
418024.8
Blue84
903626.9
417318.0
582727.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4751204060801006684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.4
14.115.5
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
blue by 0.6
27.12.6
18.120.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Second
4180
#18
24.81.4
19.420.8
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End3.1
blue by 2.1
26.92.6
18.420.9
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End3.0
Third
4918
#23
14.11.4
9.310.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 3.8
4173
#12
18.02.6
9.111.7
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed