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Red54
558814.0
297618.0
198325.4
Blue42
824814.2
241216.7
413116.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594702040801001205442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#21
25.40.2
22.923.1
Auto10.5
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 8.6
4131
#22
16.80.1
17.617.5
Auto8.2
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Second
2976
#15
18.00.2
16.716.9
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End0.7
red by 1.3
2412
#29
16.70.1
13.713.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.3
Third
5588
#20
14.00.2
11.912.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
blue by 0.2
8248
#30
14.20.1
12.212.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed