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Red51
131829.0
746120.7
60767.3
Blue56
9493.7
48825.1
944226.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565540506070805156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.3
27.927.6
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End2.5
red by 2.7
9442
#11
26.40.6
23.022.4
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End0.6
Second
7461
#26
20.70.3
19.319.0
Auto6.7
Teleop13.5
End0.5
blue by 4.4
488
#14
25.10.6
21.921.3
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End0.9
Third
6076
#34
7.30.3
3.43.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
red by 3.5
949
#31
3.70.6
4.94.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed