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Red72
582727.1
357417.6
159524.7
Blue70
805116.1
94821.9
417318.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555640506070807270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.11.4
20.722.1
Auto8.8
Teleop15.4
End2.9
red by 5.2
948
#17
21.91.3
23.324.7
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End0.7
Second
1595
#13
24.71.4
16.818.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.5
End2.6
red by 6.8
4173
#12
18.01.3
11.713.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
Third
3574
#28
17.61.4
12.914.4
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End0.3
red by 1.5
8051
#27
16.11.3
15.016.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed